Browsing by Author "Khorrami, Behnam"
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Article Citation - WoS: 11Citation - Scopus: 11An Appraisal of the Local-Scale Spatio-Temporal Variations of Drought Based on the Integrated Grace/Grace-fo Observations and Fine-Resolution Fldas Model(Wiley, 2023) Khorrami, Behnam; Ali, Shoaib; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyThe gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) observations have so far been utilized to detect and trace the variations of hydrological extremes worldwide. However, applying the coarse resolution GRACE estimates for local-scale analysis remains a big challenge. In this study, a new version of the fine resolution (1 km) Famine early warning systems network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) model data was integrated into a machine learning model along with the GRACE data to evaluate the subbasin-scale variations of water storage, and drought. With a correlation of 0.99 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.93mm of its results, the downscaling model turned out to be very successful in modelling the finer resolution variations of TWSA. The water storage deficit (WSD) and Water Storage Deficit Index (WSDI) were used to determine the episodes and severity of drought events. Accordingly, two severe droughts (January 2008 to March 2009 and September 2019 to December 2020) were discerned in the Kizilirmak Basin (KB) located in Central Turkiye. The characterization of droughts was evaluated based on WSDI, scPDSI, and model-based drought indices of the soil moisture storage percentile (SMSP) and groundwater storage percentile (GWSP). The results indicated discrepancies in the drought classes based on different indices. However, the WSDI turned out to be more correlated with GWSP, suggesting its high ability to monitor groundwater droughts as well.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 4Comprehensive Comparison of Different Gridded Precipitation Products Over Geographic Regions of Türkiye(Spie-soc Photo-optical instrumentation Engineers, 2024) Khorrami, Behnam; Sahin, Onur Gungor; Gunduz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyThe traditionally used rain gauge stations provide the most reliable data on the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation; however, they are limited in space and time. As an alternative to field observations, the gridded precipitation products (GPPs) offered by remote sensing missions are widely used. On account of the uncertainties associated with the GPPs, they have to be quality-checked for confidence in application over the region of interest. Although accuracy assessment of precipitation data is a common task, there is a gap in the literature regarding a comprehensive assessment of the currently available GPPs. In this study, 14 GPPs were used to investigate their performance in catching the spatio-temporal characteristics of precipitation over geographic regions of T & uuml;rkiye. According to the results, integrated multi-satellite retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), multi-source weighted-ensemble precipitation (MSWEP), and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) show better performance on monthly and annual scales while on the climatology scale, CHELSA, Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Station, ERA5, and ERA5-Land also manifest better performance. The mean monthly correlation over Aegean Region (AEG), Marmara Region (MAR), Central Anatolian Region (CAR), Mediterranean Region (MED), Black Sea Region (BSR), East Anatolian Region (EAR), and South East Anatolian Region (SEA) are 0.77, 0.81, 0.77, 0.80, 0.79, 0.77, and 0.77, respectively. The annual assessment suggests that over the MAR, CAR, MED, and SEA, the IMERG mission performs very well. While TRMM showcases its best performance in the AEG, MED, BSR, and EAR, MSWEP performs well in the BSR and SEA Region. Overall, taking the country-average results into account, it can be stated that among the used GPPs, TRMM, MSWEP, and IMERG yield the best results for T & uuml;rkiye as a whole.Article Citation - WoS: 26Citation - Scopus: 30Detection and Analysis of Drought Over Turkey With Remote Sensing and Model-Based Drought Indices(Taylor & Francis, 2022) Khorrami, Behnam; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyUnder the severe impacts of climate change, drought has become one of the most undesirable and complex natural phenomena with critical consequences for the environment, economy and society. The orthodox drought monitoring approaches use observations of meteorological stations, which are typically restricted in time and space. Remote sensing, conversely, provides continuous global coverage of a variety of hydro-meteorological variables that are influential in drought, and data extracted from remote sensing and modeling missions are now considered more practical and alluring for researchers. In this study, we applied a combination of field data, remotely sensed data and modeled data to detect and quantitatively analyze drought phenomena. To achieve this objective, we utilized Terrestrial Water Storage Anomalies (TWSA) estimations from GRACE mission, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from MODIS mission, Surface Runoff (R) and Evapotranspiration from ERA5 reanalysis datasets and Soil Moisture (SM) from GLDAS data model to evaluate their feasibility in detecting recent droughts over Turkey. We validated the accuracy of several remote sensing-based indices (GRACE Drought Severity Index, Water Storage Deficit Index [WSDI], Soil Moisture Index, Standardized Runoff Index and NDVI) with the traditional indices (SPI and SPEI) calculated from in situ observations of precipitation. The results revealed that the GRACE-based WSDI gave the best performance with high correlations with the SPI index both temporally and spatially over Turkey. We also found that monthly and annual time series of WSDI agreed well with the SPI index with correlations of 0.69 and 0.73, respectively. The results of drought analysis also indicated that WSDI could be used as a proxy to standard meteorological drought indices over Turkey as it performed well to detect and characterize the recent droughts of Turkey based on its comparisons to SPI results.Article Citation - WoS: 35Citation - Scopus: 37An Enhanced Water Storage Deficit Index (ewsdi) for Drought Detection Using Grace Gravity Estimates(Elsevier, 2021) Khorrami, Behnam; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyAccurate detection and monitoring of drought events are important particularly in arid and semi-arid regions of the world. Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) gravity estimates have been used widely for this purpose and a number of indices have been developed using the GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage Anomalies (TWSA) values. In the current study, a new approach is proposed to enhance the performance of the GRACE-based Water Storage Deficit Index (WSDI). The proposed Enhanced Water Storage Deficit Index (EWSDI) was developed based on the grid-based standardization of the Water Storage Deficit (WSD) values. The decomposed time series of the TWSA were computed in an attempt to evaluate the performance of the approach based on different components of the TWSA time series. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and modelled Soil Moisture Storage (SMS) were also used to validate the functionality of this new GRACE-derived index. The applicability of the EWSDI index was tested in the semi-arid climatic conditions of Turkey and the results showed that the detrended EWSDI better correlated with SPI-09 and annual SPI with correlation coefficient values of 0.70 and 0.76, respectively. The findings also suggested an approximate enhancement of 13% over the existing WSDI when applied on the detrended TWSA. The findings of this study reveal that the proposed approach is effective in improving the performance of the existing WSDI to detect drought events in terms of monthly and annual correlation coefficients achieved. © 2021 Elsevier B.V.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 2A Holistic Overview of the Applications of Grace-Observed Terrestrial Water Storage in Hydrology and Climate Science(Springer, 2025) Khorrami, Behnam; Gunduz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyTerrestrial Water Storage (TWS) represents a vital element of the hydrological cycle, with its fluctuations significantly impacting the climate of the Earth and its ecological balance. Since its launch in 2002, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission has revolutionized the ability to observe and analyze large-scale mass changes within Earth's system components. This paper offers a comprehensive and current overview of GRACE satellite gravimetry, highlighting its relevance to hydrological and climate-related studies. It outlines the fundamental measurement principles of the GRACE mission, provides an in-depth explanation of GRACE data products (including spherical harmonic and mascon solutions), examines emerging trends in GRACE-based research, and reviews key applications in hydrology and climate science. Additionally, it addresses the major challenges in utilizing GRACE data and explores promising avenues for future research and applications.Article Citation - WoS: 33Citation - Scopus: 32Investigating the Local-Scale Fluctuations of Groundwater Storage by Using Downscaled Grace/Grace-fo Jpl Mascon Product Based on Machine Learning (ml) Algorithm(Springer, 2023-06) Khorrami, Behnam; Ali, Shoaib; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyGroundwater storage is of grave significance for humanity by sustaining the required water for agricultural irrigation, industry, and domestic use. Notwithstanding the impressive contribution of the state-of-the-art Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) to detecting the groundwater storage anomaly (GWSA), its feasibility for the characterization of GWSA variation hotspots over small scales is still a major challenge due to its coarse resolution. In this study, a spatial water balance approach is proposed to enhance the spatial depiction of groundwater storage and depletion changes that can detect the hotspots of GWSA variation. In this study, Random Forest Machine Learning (RFML) model was utilized to simulate fine-resolution (10 km) groundwater storage based on the coarse resolution (50 km) of GRACE observations. To this end, parameters including soil moisture, snow water, evapotranspiration, precipitation, surface runoff, surface elevation, and GRACE data were integrated into the RFML model. The results show that with a correlation of above 0.98, the RFML model is very successful in simulating the fine-resolution groundwater storage over the Western Anatolian Basin (WAB), Turkiye. The results indicate an estimated annual depletion rate of 0.14 km(3)/year for the groundwater storage of the WAB, which is equivalent to about 2.57 km(3) of total groundwater depletion from 2003 to 2020. The findings also suggest that the downscaled GWSA is in harmony with the original GWSA in terms of temporal variations. The validation of the results demonstrates that the correlation is increased from 0.56 (for the GRACE-derived GWSA) to 0.60 (for the downscaled GWSA) over the WAB.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 32Land Deformation and Sinkhole Occurrence in Response To the Fluctuations of Groundwater Storage: an Integrated Assessment of Grace Gravity Measurements, Icesat/Icesat-2 Altimetry Data, and Hydrologic Models(Taylor & Francis, 2021-11) Khorrami, Behnam; Arık, Fetullah; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyUncontrolled extraction of water from groundwater aquifers causes groundwater depletion, which in turn triggers the formation of sinkholes in many parts of the world. Monitoring and detection of these geomorphologic features are of utmost importance and priority for the decision-makers to minimize significant environmental as well as socio-economic implications of land deformation. In this study, a systematic approach is proposed to investigate the spatio-temporal associations of groundwater storage changes with sinkhole evolution and land deformation by using a number of remotely sensed and modeled data as well as in-situ observations. The proposed approach is implemented and tested in Konya Closed Basin (KCB), Turkey, which is one of the most critical areas in central Turkey concerning sinkhole formation. The results of GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) estimates suggest that there is a descending trend in the temporal variations of TWSA (Terrestrial Water Storage Anomalies) and GWSA (Groundwater Storage Anomalies) over KCB with an average storage depletion of 4.12 ± 0.34 cm/yr and 3.40 ± 0.61 cm/yr, respectively. The analysis of land deformation from ICESat/ICESat-2 (Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite) altimetry data also indicates a descending trend with an estimated average vertical displacement of 5 cm/yr for the study area, which seems to be in rational accord with the sinkhole evolution over KCB. The results further suggest that the sinkhole evolution over KCB has an acceptable association with the variations of groundwater storage, groundwater use, and precipitation.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 31Model-Coupled Grace-Based Analysis of Hydrological Dynamics of Drying Lake Urmia and Its Basin(Wiley, 2023-05) Khorrami, Behnam; Ali, Shoaib; Şahin, Onur Güngör; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyLake Urmia basin (LUB), in northwestern Iran, is under the influence of extreme degradation due to a number of natural and anthropogenic factors. The existence of the Lake is critical for the microclimate of the region as well as the quality of human life and wildlife, which necessitates an up-to-date and holistic analysis of its hydrological dynamics. In this premise, satellite-based terrestrial water storage (TWS) received from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission was coupled with hydrometeorological modelling and assessment tools to analyse the hydrological status of the lake and its basin. As a new gap-filling approach, the Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS) (STL) decomposition technique was proposed in this study to reconstruct the missing TWS data. Integrating satellite precipitation data with the Catchment Land Surface Model (CLSM) and WaterGAP model outputs, the hydrological status of the lake was investigated. The STL-based TWS turned out to concord well with the simulated TWS from the CLSM indicating the acceptable performance of the proposed technique. The findings revealed that the LUB had undergone an alarming hydrological situation from 2003 to 2021 with a total loss of 10 and 7.56km3 from its TWS and groundwater storage (GWS), respectively. The water level time series also indicated that the water level of the lake had diminished with an annual rate of -70 +/- 21cm/year corresponding to a total water level depletion of about 13.35 +/- 3.9m during the 2003-2021 period. The GRACE-derived TWS and GWS also agreed well with the CLSM simulations. Assessment of the extreme events of the LUB suggested that the basin suffered from a severe dry event in 2008 resulting in the depletion of its water storage and water level. It was also found that from 2003 onward, a critical hydrological setting had dominated the LUB with a negative hydrological balance of -0.96km3.Article Citation - WoS: 12Citation - Scopus: 14Remote Sensing-Based Monitoring and Evaluation of the Basin-Wise Dynamics of Terrestrial Water and Groundwater Storage Fluctuations(Springer, 2023) Khorrami, Behnam; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyThe recent dynamics of terrestrial water storage (TWS) and groundwater storage (GWS) fluctuations were investigated based on the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) observations over 25 basins of Türkiye. Coarse-resolution GRACE estimates were downscaled based on the Random Forest algorithm. The impacts of precipitation (P) and evapotranspiration (ET) on the variations of water storage were also assessed. The findings demonstrated good performance for the RF model in simulating finer resolution estimates of TWS. The results indicated a diminishing trend of TWS and its hydrologic components over all the basins from 2003 to 2020. The Doğu Akdeniz Basin with the annually decreasing TWS and GWS of 1.15cm/yr and 1.10cm/yr was the most critical basin of Türkiye. The least storage loss was observed in the Batı Karadeniz Basin with the annual TWS and GWS loss of 0.38cm/yr and 0.45cm/yr , respectively. Based on the results, Türkiye has lost, on average, an estimated 5.16km3/yr and 4.09km3/yr of its TWS and GWS, respectively, which are equivalent to the total storage loss of 92.88km3 and 73.62km3 of TWS and GWS during the last 18 years. The results also indicated that P and ET interact differently with the variations of TWS and GWS. The net water flux was revealed to be partially correlated with the total water storage fluctuations, suggesting the governing role of other deriving forces particularly the anthropogenic factors in the spatiotemporal variations of Türkiye’s water storage; therefore, a sector-specific analysis of the water storage variations is crucial for the country, particularly by concentrating more on the dynamics of GWS. Graphical Abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.]. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 34Statistical Downscaling of Grace Twsa Estimates To a 1-Km Spatial Resolution for a Local-Scale Surveillance of Flooding Potential(Elsevier, 2023) Khorrami, Behnam; Pirasteh, Saied; Ali, Shoaib; Şahin, Onur Güngör; Vaheddoost, BabakThe Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) paved the way for large-scale monitoring of the hydrological extremes. However, local scale analysis is aslo challenging due to the coarse resolution of the GRACE estimates. The feasibility of the downscaled GRACE data for the flood monitoring in the Kizilirmak Basin (KB) in Turkiye is investigated in this study by integrating the GRACE and hydrological model outputs of a random forest approach. Results suggest that the TWSA, over the Asagi Kizilirmak Basin (AKB), is ascending with an annual rate of + 3.51mm/yr; while the Orta Kizilirmak Basin (OKB), Yukari Kizilirmak Basin (YKB), Delice Basin (DB), Develi Kapali Basin (DKB), and Seyfe Kapali Basin (SKB) showed descending trend respectively as -1.15mm/yr, -1.58mm/yr, -1.14mm/yr, -2.34mm/yr, and -1.31mm/yr. The hydrological status of the basin showed that in 2003, 2005, 2010-2013, and 2015-2016 periods the study area was prone to the inundation. Hence, by validating the Flood Potential Index (FPI) rates acquired from the downscaled GRACE data, it was shown that the best correlation coefficient (0.73) between FPI and streamflow (Q) is associated with the SKB. It is also concluded that the downscaled TWSA associated with the fine-resolution models depicts acceptable accuracy in determination of the flood potential at local scales.Article Citation - WoS: 10Citation - Scopus: 13A Systematic Assessment of Flooding Potential in a Semi-Arid Watershed Using Grace Gravity Estimates and Large-Scale Hydrological Modeling(Taylor & Francis, 2022) Khorrami, Behnam; Fıstıkoğlu, Okan; Gündüz, Orhan; 03.07. Department of Environmental Engineering; 03. Faculty of Engineering; 01. Izmir Institute of TechnologyThe emergence of the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) paved the way for remote tracking of hydrological water cycle components at large scales. With the main motivation of evaluating the feasibility of the coarse resolution GRACE data for small-scale analysis, the GRACE data and large-scale hydrological models were utilized in an integrated manner to monitor the variations of the flood potential index (FPI) over the Western Anatolian Basin (WAB). The results show an ascending trend for monthly and annual FPI over the WAB. The results also suggest that the monthly FPI in 2015, 2003, 2009, and 2016 was the highest, from which the highest potentiality of flood appertains to 2015/07 with an FPI of 0.92. The lowest and highest annual FPI is 0.26 (in 2007) and 0.76 (in 2015), respectively. The validation of the results indicates that variations of FPI coincide with that of the flood incidents, stream discharge, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the simulated flood risk. The findings accentuate the high feasibility of the GRACE JPL Mascons for better surveillance of floods over local scale areas. Highlights The coarse resolution GRACE JPL mascon functions very well in tracing the spatio-temporal characteristics of flood incidents over local scales. There is an ascending trend in the variations of flood potential over the Western Anatolia Basin (WAB). The WAB has experienced its lowest and highest possibility of flooding in 2007 and 2015 with an average FPI of 0.26 and 0.76, respectively. The variations of the flood potential index (FPI) coincides with that of the reported flood incidents, stream discharge, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the simulated flood risk.